
The ACC Baseball Tournament gets under way Wednesday at noon with Virginia vs. Boston College
It’s finally here!
The ACC Baseball Tournament is ready to go Wednesday, where as many as six teams have a legitimate shot at winning the title.
Last season, Virginia came from the sixth seed to win the conference, and turned that into a College World Series berth.
The league is as strong as it’s ever been. Clemson, which is the top seed in Division B, is the lowest ranked of the six ACC teams in Baseball America’s Top 25.
It’s going to be hard to confidently project the results of the week, but I’m sure as hell gonna try.
Division A
#1 Virginia
The Cavaliers virtually went wire-to-wire during the ACC season as the best team in the conference. They are ranked first in the country by Baseball America and are a lock to be one of eight top seeds in the NCAA Tournament.
They open the tournament Wednesday at noon against eighth seed Boston College. The Cavaliers swept the Eagles during the regular season.
UVA coach –and ACC Coach of the Year – Brian O’Connor said he would start Cody Winiarski on the mound in this game. Winiarski went 5-0 with a 4.23 ERA this season.
The Cavaliers will then face Florida State at 4 p.m. Thursday. The two teams met in the first conference series of the season in early March, with Virginia taking two of three from the Seminoles.
Phil Gosselin is the star of Virginia’s offense. He was named first team All-ACC, the only position player on the Cavs’ roster to earn such honors. Gosselin was very impressive, especially towards the end of the regular season. He batted .379 with seven home runs, 21 doubles and 49 RBI. He also stole 15 bases.
Danny Hultzen will rest the first two games, and unless Virginia is in a must-win situation against Miami on Saturday, he will pitch in the championship game. The ACC Pitcher of the Year finished with a 2.08 ERA – nearly a full point better than the next best pitcher in the league.
#4 Miami
The Hurricanes are a team carried by a small group of players. The most important player for Miami is catcher Yasmani Grandal. He earned ACC Player of the Year honors by leading the league with a .428 batting average, 13 home runs and 54 RBI. Grandal is far and away the most complete hitter in the conference.
Miami has a lot to play for this weekend. They are slated to host an NCAA Regional, according to ESPN, but that would evade the ‘Canes grasp with a poor showing in Greensboro.
They could surely use that home-field advantage. They had an 18-game home winning streak snapped in the second game of their series with Virginia last week.
It’s going to be a tough opener for the ‘Canes. Freshman pitcher Chris Whaley will make his second career start against the Seminoles on Wednesday. In 26 appearances this year, Whaley is 4-1 with a 4.58 ERA. He has plenty of innings of worked, but putting him up against Florida State with so much on the line is risky.
Miami doesn’t have much choice, though. Eric Erickson, a usual starter, will miss the tournament with an elbow injury.
Chris Hernandez, a first team all-conference pitcher, will start against Boston College on Thursday. That should be enough for Miami to feel comfortable about that game. Which leaves the all-important game Saturday against Virginia.
Miami lost the series to Virginia last week, and the one game it won was in extra innings. For a team that doesn’t play nearly as well away from home, it will need a magical performance to emerge from the division on top.
#5 Florida State
The Seminoles have to be careful not to let a late-season slide carry over into Greensboro. A week ago, Florida State expected to be the top seed in Division B as champions of the Atlantic Division. Instead, the ‘Noles went to Clemson and got whipped by the Tigers.
Three straight losses relegated Florida State to this division, where two of the three teams will be top seeds in the NCAA Tournament.
That being said, the Seminoles went 5-4 during the regular season against the other teams in the division. They lost twice to Virginia, but took two of three from Miami and Boston College.
However, Miami led in 25 of the 27 innings against Florida State this year, and the Hurricanes are hungry to prove their worth. It’s going to be a grind-it-out kind of weekend for the Seminoles.
Florida State bats .296 as a team, virtually the same as Boston College and Miami, who bat .295 each. Virginia is light years ahead of all three at .335.
The Seminoles have a good chance to beat Miami using a young pitcher. However, the ‘Noles pitching staff posted a horrid 13.09 ERA against Clemson, killing any momentum the team could have had.
Boston College could be tricky, because the Eagles are on the NCAA bubble (I thought I wouldn’t have to use that word for 10 more months dammit!).
If the Seminoles can slide past Miami on Wednesday, they have a chance to make the finals. If they have a poor showing for the fourth straight game, count them out.
#8 Boston College
As mentioned before, the Eagles will be fighting for their NCAA Tournament lives this week. ESPN pegs them as one of the final five at-large teams that will make the field.
The Eagles went 1-8 against the other teams in the division, not a convincing statistic.
They are only in the tournament after the third tiebreaker ruled them ahead of North Carolina for the final seed in the tournament.
The Eagles’ team ERA is the second worst in the league at 6.58. Thankfully for them, they avoided the more offensively potent division which includes Georgia Tech and Clemson, but there is still little proof their pitching staff can contain the likes of Virginia, Miami and Florida State.
Not only is the defense suspect, but the Eagles’ bats are in the bottom half of the league in nearly every significant category. They scored the least amount of runs of any team in the tournament, which kind of makes you wonder how they made it this far.
Off the hate train now, but at best the Eagles will win one game this weekend, and that’s if Florida State is in the dumps.
DIVISION B
#2 Clemson
There’s no better feeling in sports than to be red-hot heading into the postseason. That’s exactly what the Tigers are, coming off an emotional sweep of Florida State at home to clinch the Atlantic Division.
On a side note, Clemson became the first school in the expansion era of the ACC to win its division in both football and baseball.
While we’re on the subject of the two sports, Kyle Parker is not only the leader on the gridiron, but on the diamond as well.
Parker tied for the conference lead with 18 home runs. He also batted at a .373 clip and drove in 56 runs, which was third on the team.
Jeff Schaus led the league with 71 RBI, and John Hinson was seventh with 60.
Needless to say, the Tigers can score runs in bunches.
They avoid facing Deck McGuire, the Georgia Tech ace, and will face Matthew Price, the third best starter for Virginia Tech.
I really like Clemson right now. They scored the third most runs in the league, and they are playing very well. This division is chock full of offensive prowess, and Clemson is well equipped for some slugfests.
If it comes down to pitching, Clemson is in a bit of trouble. The Tigers’ staff is only average, and when they faced Georgia Tech earlier this year, the Jackets scored 23 runs in three games, all won by Tech.
Expect the Tigers to be in some high-scoring affairs every day.
#3 Georgia Tech
Talent-wise, Georgia Tech has the best chance outside of Virginia to win this tournament. The Jackets are absolutely loaded offensively and have a couple knockout pitchers on their side.
The problem with Tech is inconsistency.
The Yellow Jackets dropped a series at home to Virginia Tech during the regular season and did the same at North Carolina State, but they did sweep Clemson.
You just never know which Georgia Tech ball club will show up. The Yellow Jackets have won nine of their last 11 games, though.
Tony Plagman is a monster at first base. He tied with Parker for the league lead in home rusn, and bats clean-up for a lineup that produced 111 home runs in 55 games.
That’s a two-home run per game average. They won’t have any trouble getting people across the plate.
Deck McGuire is going to take the mound in game one on Thursday night against Virginia Tech. McGuire is rated as the best pro prospect in the ACC, and has the best control of perhaps any pitcher in the country.
If Georgia Tech puts together a solid weekend of baseball, they should expect to be playing on Sunday. That’s a big if.
#6 Virginia Tech
The Hokies are the only team coming into the tournament from this division not on a hot streak. Tech dropped its last four games to end the season, including a sweep at the hands of North Carolina.
To be fair, the Heels were playing for their postseason lives, and are much more talented than just about any team sitting at home already.
Still, there are several question marks surrounding the Hokies entering Greensboro.
Jesse Hahn, the usual Sunday starting pitcher, has struggled since returning from an elbow injury. He has started in two of the last four losses for Tech, and coach Pete Hughes wants to rest him until a potential championship game appearance.
Hahn will be ready to pitch Saturday against N.C. State if it is necessary.
Tech has a strong lineup, fitting in well with the rest of the division. The pitching staff is also fairly deep, as noted by strong play in the month without Hahn.
There is probably not a more balanced team in the league in terms of good hitting and good pitching, with the exception of Virginia.
Austin Wates and Steve Domecus are the leaders on offense. They are both near the top of the conference in terms of batting average and runs batted in.
The Hokies might have the best bench of any team in the league, which could prove vital in tight ball games when situational hitting is crucial.
The Hokies were swept by Clemson early in the year, but did win the series against Georgia Tech in Atlanta.
The injury to Hahn is tough, but the Hokies’ two best pitchers left will face Georgia Tech and Clemson. While they could win both of those, a realistic scenario is a split of those two games and a chance to clinch the division against the Wolfpack on Saturday night.
#7 North Carolina State
Despite being seeded low, the Wolfpack scored more runs than anyone else in the ACC this year with 532. The number wouldn’t have been as high had they not slammed LaSalle for 65 runs in three games to open the season.
In all seriousness, though, they have a good enough offense to make a run this week.
They were the only team to beat Virginia in a series this season, winning 6-5 in 11 innings on Friday, then 7-6 on Sunday, April 4 in the rubber match.
They also took two of three from Georgia Tech late in the year, which was the beginning of a stretch where the ‘Pack won 10 of 13 games to end the regular season.
Just like Georgia Tech and Clemson, the Wolfpack are playing well at the right time.
Outfielder Drew Poulk is the offensive star for a powerful lineup. He batted .367 on the year with 13 home runs and 67 RBI.
The Wolfpack have the look of a team that could surprise some people this weekend, as they have on several occasions this season. They play their best baseball against their toughest competition, which means the rest of their division will be in for a battle.
If they can get consistent pitching for their second and third starters, there’s no reason the Wolfpack can’t sneak up and win a wide-open division.
Here are my predictions for how the weekend will unfold:
| DIV. A |
UVA |
MIAMI |
FSU |
BC |
Total |
| UVA |
|
Virginia |
Virginia |
Virginia |
3-0 |
| MIAMI |
Virginia |
|
Florida St. |
Miami |
1-2 |
| FSU |
Virginia |
Florida St. |
|
Florida St |
2-1 |
| BC |
Virginia |
Miami |
Florida St. |
|
0-3 |
| Total |
3-0 |
1-2 |
2-1 |
0-3 |
|
| DIV. B |
CLEM |
GT |
VT |
NC ST |
Total |
| CLEM. |
|
Clemson |
Va. Tech |
Clemson |
2-1 |
| GT |
Clemson |
|
Ga. Tech |
NC State |
1-2 |
| VT |
Va Tech |
Ga Tech |
|
Va Tech |
2-1 |
| NC ST |
Clemson |
NC State |
Va Tech |
|
1-2 |
| Total |
2-1 |
1-2 |
2-1 |
1-2 |
|
Finals: VIRGINIA over Virginia Tech
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